Lemma
MediumExpectation
#1819 · Probability · Expectation

A Ticket Holder's Expectation

There is a raffle with tickets and two prizes of value and respectively. holds one ticket and is informed by that he has won the prize, while asserts that he has won the prize: what is 's expectation, if the credibility of is denoted by rac{2}{3}, and that 's by rac{3}{4}?

~15 minAnswer checked instantlyExpectationConditional ProbabilityCredibility

H. S. Hall & S. R. Knight, Higher Algebra (1891) · Ch. XXXII. Probability, Examples XXXII.d, No. 13

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Checked against the answer in H. S. Hall & S. R. Knight, Higher Algebra (1891).