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#1810 · Probability · Conditional probability

Postmark probability

A letter is known to have come either from London or Clifton; on the postmark only the two consecutive letters ON are legible; what is the chance that it came from London?

~10 minAnswer checked instantlyBayes theoremword patterns

H. S. Hall & S. R. Knight, Higher Algebra (1891) · Ch. XXXII. Probability, Examples XXXII.d, No. 3

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Checked against the answer in H. S. Hall & S. R. Knight, Higher Algebra (1891).